PRICE AT T0
Project$6.71
BTC$64,561.00
Quantmetric Terminal
Signal #124
● SETTLED (30d)Signal #124 — Avalanche Core Activity Surge (CAS)
Avalanche has a complete 30-day replay on record.
Avalanche Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 4.375x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 7 commits; 30D mean: 1.6; z-score: 3.2043.
Current CAS Score
1.7×
1.7× vs 30d baseline
+69.44% vs baseline
PRICE T+7
Project$6.26
BTC$64,561.00
PRICE T+30
Project$6.32
BTC$64,561.00
7-DAY
−6.71% absolute return
−7.25% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−5.81% absolute return
−3.43% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION
Avalanche did not outperform BTC in the 30-day window after this surge. Engineering activity is necessary but not sufficient — narrative, liquidity, and macro all matter.
CAS history chart
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
Auto narrative
Avalanche has logged 17 core commits over the past 7 days, a 1.7× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on Sep 09, 2026, 04:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.