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Signal #95
● SETTLED (30d)

Signal #95Aptos Core Activity Surge (CAS)

Aptos has a complete 30-day replay on record.

Aptos Core Activity Surge detected. Dev-velocity is 3.6986x above baseline. Current 24h core velocity: 9 commits; 30D mean: 2.4333; z-score: 3.378.

Current CAS Score
1.1×
1.1× vs 30d baseline
+5.88% vs baseline
PRICE AT T0
Project$0.96
BTC$76,216.00
PRICE T+7
Project$1.00
BTC$76,216.00
PRICE T+30
Project$0.95
BTC$76,216.00
7-DAY
+4.64% absolute return
−1.73% alpha vs BTC
30-DAY
−1.42% absolute return
+2.00% alpha vs BTC
INTERPRETATION

Aptos ran +2.00% ahead of BTC in the 30 days after this surge. The market eventually priced in the engineering.

CAS history chart
Mar 23, 2026Apr 29, 2026Jun 10, 2026
Recent Core Commits
Signal History
IDTypeCreatedStatusDetail
#105Core Activity Surge (CAS)May 15, 2026, 16:10 UTC◐ SETTLED (7d)Open →
#95Core Activity Surge (CAS)Apr 28, 2026, 12:10 UTC● SETTLED (30d)Open →
Auto narrative

Aptos has logged 21 core commits over the past 7 days, a 1.1× multiple of its 30-day baseline. The last CAS surge fired on May 15, 2026, 16:10 UTC. The outcome is still being tracked.

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